HSBC sees S&P 500 bull case at 7,000 after earnings strength

HSBC has lifted its year-end S&P 500 forecast to 6,500 from 6,400, its second upgrade in less than a month, citing stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings and only a modest drag from tariffs. “We revise our S&P 500 year-end target to 6500 after incorporating better-than-expected Q2 results” The new target implies about 1.3% upside from the index’s … Read more

RBC: Rising Japan yields set to fuel yen surge, shift global flows … in 2026

Rising Japanese government bond yields are poised to reshape global currency and rate markets next year, according to a note from RBC. Japanese yields now offering compelling returns means domestic investors are increasingly likely to keep money at home rather than chase higher returns abroad For the first time since 2020, Japanese investors will have … Read more

Japanese political turmoil threatens to continue to weigh on the yen

A snippet from MUFG, analysts at the bank argue that if PM Ishiba is forced out a fresh leader could spurge on spending. There is renewed speculation that Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba could step down following his party’s loss of a majority in July’s upper house elections. MUFG: political uncertainty could accelerate yen selling markets … Read more

The bond market breathes a big sigh of relief

The thing about the US being on a path to bankruptcy is that every time there is a climb in Treasury yields, the investing world holds is breath. In addition, the politicization of the Fed threatens to unhinge long-term inflation expectations and drive up the term premium. Thankfully, this week isn’t the reckoning. After UK … Read more

Market Flows with Market-on-Close Are With the Bulls. For Now.

One of the quieter but powerful signals in the equity market is the Market-on-Close (MOC) order imbalance. This is where institutions such as mutual funds, ETFs, and hedge funds place orders to buy or sell stocks at the official closing price. Exchanges begin releasing imbalance data 15 minutes before the close, showing whether more dollars … Read more