What are the main events for today?

As it’s usually the case for Mondays, we don’t have much on the agenda today. There’s just the Dallas Fed Manufacturing index being released, but it’s a volatile data and almost never a market-moving report. The focus will remain on trade deals ahead of the August 1 (Friday) deadline. We got the US-EU deal over … Read more

FX option expiries for 28 July 10am New York cut

There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below. That being for USD/JPY at the 148.00 level. It isn’t one that ties to any technical significance but the expiries could help to keep a lid on price action before rolling off later in the day. That as the … Read more

Ethereum gears up for another test of the $4,000 mark

Fancy a break, mate? Amid the latest optimistic headlines on the trade front, cryptocurrencies are starting to come up again after a bit of a setback in the middle of last week. Over the weekend, we’ve seen a resurgence in Ethereum in particular as it wipes out the losses from Wednesday amid a drop towards … Read more

South Korea offers shipbuilding investment to U.S. ahead of tariff deadline

South Korea has proposed a major shipbuilding investment package to the United States, titled “Make American Shipbuilding Great Again” (MASGA), ahead of the August 1 tariff negotiation deadline, according to government sources cited by Yonhap. The package includes large-scale investments by South Korean private shipbuilders in the U.S., along with financial support such as loans … Read more

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1467 (vs. estimate at 7.1653)

Chinese markets are reopening today after the holiday Monday. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain … Read more

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1653 – Reuters estimate

People’s Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate … Read more

Bloomberg: Oil prices caught between a $70 summer and growing surplus fears

Bloomberg reports on the main influences trapping oil prices. Bloomberg is gated, but in brief: Oil traders grappling with tension between warnings of a weakening market and strong current prices near $70 a barrel. The International Energy Agency and the US Energy Information Administration expect a surplus of oil next year, with the IEA projecting … Read more

Industrial profits in China fell 4.3% y/y in June, following a 9.1% drop in May

Industrial profits in China fell 4.3% y/y in June, following a 9.1% drop in May, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. First-half 2025 profits declined 1.8%, compared to a 1.1% drop from January–May. The decline was driven by persistent producer deflation, weak domestic demand, and ongoing global trade uncertainty. Price wars in industries such … Read more