What are the main events for today?

Yesterday, was certainly the only “lively” day of the week in terms of data releases. Today, we have another boring day. The only notable releases are the German IFO and the US Durable Goods Orders data. Both of them will likely be ignored since they won’t change anything for the central banks or the markets. … Read more

Japan May revised leading indicator index 104.8 vs 104.2 prior

The coincident index is seen keeping steady at 116.0, unchanged from April. The assessment of the index is also unchanged, seen as “halting to fall”. Here’s the trend of the coincident index over the past few years: Head on over to investingLive (formerly ForexLive) to get in on the know! This article was written by … Read more

ECB pause now seen extending through to September

It looks like we’ll be seeing the majority of analysts having to change their calls on the ECB outlook in the week(s) ahead. The meeting decision yesterday was expected but it was this leaked report that is causing traders to reprice expectations a fair bit more. Most quarters of the market were expecting the ECB … Read more

ICYMI – Trump says he will not fire Fed Chair Powell – "I don’t think that’s necessary"

Trump inspected the Federal Reserve construction site to pressure the central bank for lower interest rates. In front of media: Powell fact-checked Trump’s claim that the $2.5 billion price tag had swelled to $3.1 billion Trump pulled a piece of paper from his suit jacket, handing it to Powell Powell replied “You just added in … Read more

Asia military clash continues. 100000 displaced, emergency Security Council meeting called

Thailand has evacuated more than 100,000 residents from areas near its border with Cambodia, as the two countries engage in their most intense military conflict in over a decade. The Thai Interior Ministry confirmed on Friday that 100,672 people have been relocated to emergency shelters. The ongoing clashes have also led to a rising human … Read more

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1419 (vs. estimate at 7.1609)

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain range, called a “band,” around a central reference rate, … Read more

Leadership uncertainty at the Fed weighs on dollar, says BofA

Uncertainty over the future of Federal Reserve leadership is putting pressure on the U.S. dollar, according to a note from Bank of America. The bank says concerns around the Fed’s direction have “arguably impacted the USD more than other assets so far,” preventing the currency from sustaining a rally. With speculation mounting over whether Chair … Read more

Trump says he spoke with Powell about interest rates, there was "no tension"

If you watch live you’ll have seen Trump doing what he does well, handling the media. Powell didn’t look so comfortable. Still, things ya got do when the boss visits! Trump comments ranged over numerous topics. Of course there were the inevitable calls for lower interest rates. Also: not necessary to fire Powell I thought … Read more